Are you a part of the News/Talk 750 WSB VIP? Sign in or join now. Why join?
Text size: A A A
Jamie Dupree

Double Governor Win

By
Jamie Dupree
@ November 4, 2009 12:00 AM
Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBacks (0)
A year after Barack Obama's big election win, Republicans turned the tables in Election 2009, winning the Governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey, and raising questions about next year's important Congressional elections.

It was much like 1993, when Republicans capitalized on controversy surrounding Bill Clinton's policies, as they won the same two races. A year later, the GOP won big, capturing control of the Congress in the Republican Revolution of 1994.

Will 2010 be the same? That's impossible to answer right now, but some of the poll data from Tuesday gives us a clear look at why the GOP did so well this year.

First, independents swung back to the GOP. Last year, they broke overwhelmingly for Obama. This year, it was Advantage GOP.

Basically, the independent voters went 2-to-1 for the Republican in both of those states.

The second important indicator was turnout. Without Obama on the ballot, Democrats couldn't match their record voter turnout of 2008, and they suffered as a result. Meanwhile, GOP voters were much more inspired, and so they came to the polls in larger numbers.

While the White House tried to downplay any importance from those two races, it was hard to ignore their involvement in the campaigns.

President Obama had stumped for votes in both states in recent weeks - including going to New Jersey just before Election Day - so it's a bit hard to say that the losses in Virginia and New Jersey don't matter.

The results in Virginia though followed what's become a rule for the Governor's election, where the party that won the last election for the White House then loses the Old Dominion Governor's race a year later.

That trend began when Republicans won in 1977, a year after Jimmy Carter's win, and it repeated in 1981, '85, '89, '93, '97, 2001, '05 and '09.

So the question is pretty simple - is this the tip of a big electoral wave next year for the GOP?

Or is this just two "isolated" campaign losses for the Democrats?



0 TrackBacks

Listed below are links to blogs that reference this entry: Double Governor Win.

TrackBack URL for this entry: http://wsbradio.com/blogging/mt-tb.cgi/49556


Avg. rating: N/A

What others are saying

  • Link to Virginia Map
    Here is the link from politico.com - you will see that Virginia is almost all Red

    http://www.politico.com/election/2009/maps/#/VA
  • Map of Virginia
    Jamie ,
    Would you please provide the link for the red/blue map of Virginia that you discussed with Boortz this morning. I can't find it on the web, and I was fascinated by your description of how huge McDonnell's victory was.
send to a friend  view as printer-friendly  RSS feeds
advertisement

WSB 24-Hour Weather Center
Get the 5-day Forecast .

Atlanta weather

Mostly Cloudy
56°F
5-day forecast | Hurricane Guide
advertisement

Marketplace

Cancer Wellness at Piedmont Cancer Cente
Cancer Wellness at Piedmont Cancer Center - Providing help and support to those facing cancer. Learn more.
Emory Vision
Emory Vision is the best LASIK provider in Atlanta. Learn more at our online seminar.
"How to Build Your Financial Future" Online Seminar sponsored by Associated Credit Union. Details
Georgia Cancer Specialists
Click here to view GCS's video, "Seven Things You Should Know About Breast Cancer."
advertisement
Green Home Improvement
Allan Vigil Racing Fan Frenzy
Racing Fans, play the Allan Vigil Racing Fan Frenzy now! Click here for all the details.
Resurgens Spine Center
View our webinar “The Latest In Total Joint Replacement.” Watch now
powered by AutoTrader.com Shop for cars, find a dealer, and get the latest automotive news in our Local Car Buying Guide powered by AutoTrader.com
powered by Kudzu From fast food to fine dining, find it all in our Local Business Directory .
Stay ahead of the storm. Find evacuation routes, safety tips and more in the Hurricane Guide.
News Talk 750 WSB Mobile Access
News/Talk 750 WSB wants to make sure you can access our website anytime you want from any device. Click here to find out how.
Going Green
Help do your part to save water, reduce air pollution & greenhouse emissions. Go Green!
Georgia Bulldogs Radio Network
Your online connection to the Georgia Bulldogs Radio Network team!
Read the AJC and stay on top of everything in Atlanta! Get delivery for less than $2 a week!
Join Channel 2 Action News anchors John Pruitt and Monica Pearson at 5, 6, and 11pm.