While political experts debate how Hillary Clinton pulled off her stunning comeback win in New Hampshire, the 2008 Presidential Race has moved on from the Granite State, with the most immediate focus now on Michigan, Nevada and South Carolina.
Tonight six Republicans will gather in Myrtle Beach, SC for a GOP debate. Huckabee, Romney, McCain, Giuliani, Thompson and Paul will get another shot at each other just over a week before the South Carolina GOP primary.
Meanwhile, Mitt Romney is pulling down television ads in South Carolina and Florida and focusing his resources on Michigan, which votes next Tuesday.
Moves like that are usually not a good sign, especially when you realize that Romney spent over 5 million dollars on ads in South Carolina and Florida combined in 2007. Now he seems to be ceding those states in hopes of winning Michigan.
Michigan is Romney's home state, as his father was the Governor there. Polls though have indicated strength for both Mike Huckabee and John McCain. Romney on Wednesday evidently told his top money men that he will win in Michigan.
If Romney does not, his high priced effort may be in serious trouble.
Meanwhile, one more Democrat has decided to give up on the 2008 Presidential race as Bill Richardson is announcing today that he's withdrawing.
The former Congressman and Clinton Cabinet member was never able to break through to the top tier. Some have previously urged him to run for an open US Senate seat in New Mexico this year that's being vacated by Sen. Pete Domenici.
While the Republicans focus on Michigan and South Carolina, Nevada is really the next battleground for Democrats, where caucuses will be held on January 19th.
Barack Obama got a boost there Wednesday when he was endorsed by the 60,000-member Culinary Workers Union. That could give him some much needed help.
Obama also sent out an email plea for money to supporters, entitled "We knew this would be hard."
The email has a nice piece of spin on Obama's unexpected loss to Hillary Clinton this week, saying "A week ago we were 14 points behind, and no one imagined that we'd accomplish what we did in New Hampshire."
Asking for a $25 donation, Obama says "We are about to enter the most decisive period of the campaign. We need to act immediately to build up our organization to compete in Nevada, South Carolina, and the 22 states that will hold their contests on February 5th."
He sums up with a simple statement. "Change is what's happening in America."
"Change" has certainly been the buzzword since Obama won in Iowa. Mitt Romney said it so many times at an event I covered in New Hampshire that I wanted to replay the whole thing and count how many times he said it.
What About The Issues?
The press gets criticized an awful lot for focusing on the "horse race" of the campaign. Admittedly, with the proliferation of polls, it is difficult to avoid a constant barrage of "who is up" and "who is down."
So, digging into the exit poll data, the stump speeches that I heard and interviews with voters, what issues are really driving voters?
In exit polls from New Hampshire, the top issue for both Democrats and Republicans was the economy. About nine of ten Democrats felt negatively about the economy; for Republicans it was about half of voters.
For those who rated the economy as their top issue, they mainly voted for Hillary Clinton and John McCain, leaving me a bit puzzled, since the economy is not what I would rate as the number one issue for either of them.
For the Democrats, I probably would have associated the economy more with John Edwards than Clinton - for her, I would have picked health care. For McCain it would be national security much more than economic issues.
Edwards tried his best to make the economy a rallying cry along with health care, but it did not produce for him in New Hampshire.
On the GOP side, while Mitt Romney talks about the need for economic growth and focuses on tax cuts, it's really Mike Huckabee that zeroes in on economic troubles, part of his populist type leanings on the economy.
Huckabee likes to say that wants to represent the guy who was laid off from work, not the boss that hands out the pink slip. It's one reason some in the GOP establishment aren't too thrilled about the former Arkansas Governor as a nominee.
The economy should get a workout before the GOP primary in Michigan. What could be more fertile ground for a battle over the future of the US economy than Michigan, which has seen tough times in the US auto industry?
As for Iraq, while that is still big with Democrats, it has been replaced by the economy. Iraq was a good applause line for Democrats, but it clearly is not Issue Number One for the candidates at this point.
What About The Polls In New Hampshire?
While the pollsters got the GOP victory of John McCain correct, they certainly were way off on the Democratic side, as many were predicting a big time win for Barack Obama.
One theory from a GOP pollster circulating on Wednesday morning was that some independent voters were double counted - that is, they weren't pinned down on which primary they would vote in, and so the level of support for Obama was overstated.
But pollsters from Marist College in New York knocked that down, saying what was wrong was not the level of support for Obama.
"Here in New Hampshire, for the most part, Obama's support was not overstated in the polls," according to a statement from Marist. "But the polls missed the magnitude of the support for Clinton."
The Marist statement speculated one reason was a lack of polling on Monday, the day before the New Hampshire primary, which might have missed the impact of media coverage on Clinton's emotional moment during a sit down with voters.
The Marist statement said the college would re-contact voters who were part of weekend polls to seek additional insights.
And what about the woman who asked Clinton the question that prompted her voice to quaver and tears to fill her eyes?
She evidently voted for Barack Obama.
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